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I have now seen every WCAC team play this year, and I am very surprised at the poor quality of play compared to recent years. 2008 truly was an exceptional year, especially with all the Div I talent at the top of the conference. This year, there are 5 or 6 genuine Div I talents shining--in the entire conference. Josh Leemhuis, Chris Cook, and Chad Morgan are the true studs of the conference this year. That is it from position players. Throw in Reed and Willoughby as pitchers, and you pretty much have named the league's talent.
DeMatha--Cook is fabulous. Hitting over .500. Clutch. Willoughby 2 hit PVI, and the two hits were a misplayed pop up and a seeing eye ground ball.
PVI--Morgan is a stud. Homeruns, triples, doubles, a great arm. After that, Veeder, Costello, and Reeves are not producing. Costello and McGee are pitching well. After that, is is mostly a case of sophomores and juniors who have never played varsity baseball before committing errors and making outs at the plate.
StJ--Reed will end up pitcher of the year, unless Willoughby beats him out. Leemhuis is just a great all-around talent, from hitting to arm strength to having a great feel all over the field.
Good Counsel--This team has the potential to win the conference, especially the tournament. Why? Because Good Counsel always gets better throughout March and April, and hits the snot out of the ball in late April and throughout May. Pitching and defense may be the weak link.
O'Connell--Wow, are they bad. Even their stud, Zack Tessier, is awful. Against PVI he committed three errors on routine balls. He can still hit well, but defensively, how does he succeed at High Point? O/C's pitching is JV level, at best. O/C's defense may not even be at that level. They committed at least 8 errors against PVI. Outfielders threw the ball to no-man's land while runners ran the bases like it was little league.
Gonzaga--Well, I give Mt Vernon alot of credit for beating them, but seriously, how does a school of nearly 1000 boys that can recruit to stock up on studs produce a team so anemic offensively? If Casale is a Big East success, he will have to work awfully hard with someone who really knows what he is doing.
BI--Coach Gallagher continues to try to develop a good team, and he is a fabulous coach, but the talent just is not there. Zere is hurt, or was, which kills them, since he is nearly everything to both offense and defense. I don't see them beating the top three or four teams even once.
McNamara and Ryken--I regret having to say this, but these two should be playing in the WCAC JV program. Even then, they likely would not win the conference. I want them to be better, and I want them to keep working to get better, but they just cannot compete.
It is a down, down year in the WCAC. I thought PVI, StJ, and DeMatha would have more major talent on the field. Maybe it's there, and they just did not show it when I saw these teams play. I can tell you that I think teams like Stone Bridge (beat DeMatha by 11-0) and other top public school teams would beat these top WCAC teams this year. I don't even know if it is that close a call. There may be some hidden gems on these teams, but if they are there, it is time to start playing like it.
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| Posts: 160 | Location: virginia | Registered: April 28, 2008 |    |
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Thanks. I think I am seeing it pretty well, but it is certainly possible I may be missing the boat. It is still early. Nevertheless, from the games I have seen, the internal WCAC hierarchy hasn't changed much, but because it lost so much talent from the 2008 class, it just is not anywhere near as good as it was last year.
I saw that Dematha score and was not surprised. I think Dematha may win the WCAC. But their loss to Stone Bridge makes the WCAC look pretty bad.
One other thing--I don't think BI is a serious contender in spite of the 5-0 start. Yes, they beat Good Counsel, but I still think Good Counsel will be a much improved team by mid-April, and will be good enough to beat anyone at that point. I just don't see BI beating Dematha, StJ, or PVI.
As for GPrep and StAlbans, I'd say--if you can get in and you can afford it, go there. Succeed at those schools and you open doors.
I would be very hesitant to believe in a kid who is not motivated enough to do 0630 workouts to become a better player. I wish the catcher well, but he will languish in mediocrity if he cannot get past that barrier he has placed in his own path.
Good luck to your son. Lefty pitchers are always in demand.
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| Posts: 160 | Location: virginia | Registered: April 28, 2008 |    |
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I am more than willing to say I was wrong on several scores. First, I did not believe that Coach Gallagher was going to be able to duplicate last year's miracle turnaround, but he has. He has BI ranked #1 in the VISAA Div I poll, and in contention for 2nd place in the WCAC (but then, nearly everyone behind Dematha and ahead of SMR and McNamara is in contention for 2nd place). Second, I did not see DeMatha's dominance coming like it has. Still undefeated in the WCAC. Third, I did not give Gonzaga credit, under a new coach, for being able to gel as they have. Fourth, I thought St. J and PVI would both recover much better from their senior losses from last year (10 and 9, if I am not mistaken, respecively)--neither did. In fact, both teams are huge disappointments, but both are young.
But, don't forget that I was correct on some fronts. DeMatha's loss to Stone Bridge was horrific in light of their dominance of the WCAC. What does that tell us about the conference? I had Good Counsel pegged. They are good and will get better. And I may end up being ultimately correct--DeMatha will win the WCAC with any number of good teams in 2nd place--GC, Gonzaga, BI, PVI, StJ. McNamara and SMR will bring up the rear.
I will now tell you that a search of the websites reveals some interesting outcomes and possibly trends. DeMatha got murdered on their spring trip--10-0 and 10-4--in the NE. PVI won the Southeastern Baseball Classic (4-0). Gonzaga went 2-2 in Louisiana, beating the #2 ranked team in the State. BI was destroyed by South County over their spring break. St. John's went 3-1 on their spring break trip, then came back and beat Maret, GC, and Spalding (13-0), going to 12-5. What does all of this tell us? It appears that DeMatha is moving in the wrong direction while the other teams are catching up and, possibly, surpassing them.
In the end (the WCAC Tournament in early May) anything can happen. However, DeMatha, while the favorite, will be hard pressed to stop a hot StJ, PVI, GC, or Gonzaga (I still don't think BI has the pitching depth to pull it off, but I have been wrong about BI before and should start putting my money on Coach Gallagher). It just seems that DeMatha may have gotten complacent or something. Then again, maybe their spring break opponents were top competition while teams like those PVI played in SC were weak? It is worth considering that PVI also beat St Anne's Belfied twice over their break, leading one to think maybe PVI is coming around for real.
In any case, the quality of play has to be better than it was early, when it seemed these young teams made error after error and struck out in 7 out of every 10 at-bats. A little more tweaking here and there by the coaches, and there is no telling who will end up winning the WCAC tournament.
Finally, the one troubling piece remaining is the DeMatha loss to Stone Bridge, the BI loss to South County, the PVI loss to Calvert Hall--it could well be that the WCAC is way, way down this year?
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| Posts: 160 | Location: virginia | Registered: April 28, 2008 |    |
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