Bracket 1 - Chatsworth Bracket 2 - Camarillo (tough bracket) Bracket 3 - TO Bracket 4 - Toss up Bracket 5 - Crespi Bracket 6 - ? Bracket 7 - ? Bracket 8 - Moorpark (Would take Simi if head to head)
Championship - Chatsworth beats Crespi in finals.
Lot of good teams this is really just guessing, especially at this time of year when most teams won't overuse their top pitchers. My guess is Chatsworth has the most pitching depth and will pull it off, although Chatsworth vs. TO could be quite a game if they meet.
Posts: 4703 | Location: Southern CA, USA | Registered: January 02, 2003
BOF, Look on the Crespi website for the latest. I don't think Ventura is in bracket 6 anymore. I heard last night that Camarillo has good hitting but doesn't have much pitching depth so who knows. That one probably depends a lot on how long they are willing to let their #1 starters go this time of the year.
Posts: 4703 | Location: Southern CA, USA | Registered: January 02, 2003
BOF, Last year Ventura lost to Agoura, the weakest team in the Marmonte league during this tournament. This year Simi and Moorpark should both be middle of the pack Marmonte league teams which means they should have very, very good records against teams outside the league. Good point on Saugus as they played for the VIBL championship.
A lot may depend on if Glendale is good enough to keep their Sat. morning game close vs Moorpark. Moorpark has 2 good pitchers who should be able to go 7 or 8 innings between them. After that there's a drop off, although the remaining pitchers aren't bad. If Glendale can stay close while the good pitcher is throwing they have a shot and the same goes for Ventura if they split the two of them up.
Posts: 4703 | Location: Southern CA, USA | Registered: January 02, 2003
Generally agree with your analysis. I like Saugus and Oxnard this year. (Oxnard not in this tournament) You have a better idea on Moorpark and the Marmonte teams. Moorpark is generally weak compared to the rest and I think Simi lost more than they gained so I think they should be weaker also which makes this bracket a toss up.
Ventura's success/failure will be based on the outcome of 1 run games since they will be very good defensively, OK pitching, relatively weak (compared to elite teams) hitting. Since defensive teams take some time to develop they could be vulnerable early in the season. Their 90MPH closer is on the Varsity Bsk Ball team, which might make him questionable early also. Regardless any one coming out of this group will probably get knocked off at the next level.
Posts: 537 | Location: SoCal | Registered: July 24, 2007
Bracket 1: Chatsworth Bracket 2: Hart Bracket 3: TO Bracket 4: Cleveland Bracket 5: Quartz Hill Bracket 6: Alemany Bracket 7: Rio Mesa Bracket 8: Simi
Second 8: Bracket 1: Chaminade(1-1) Bracket 2: Dos Pueblos(1-1) Bracket 3: West Ranch(1-1) Bracket 4: Harvard-Westlake(1-1) Bracket 5: Crespi(1-1) Bracket 6: Saugus(1-1) Bracket 7: Palmdale(1-1) Bracket 8: Moorpark (2-0)
Predictions for 2nd round: Chatsworth TO Quartz Hill Simi
Dos Pueblos West Ranch Crespi Palmdale (Would take Moorpark but they had to throw both starters on Saturday. Most of these are just guesses, because there's no way to tell how the coaches will use their pitchers this early in the year. I've already made one change in my guesses after seeing the scores.)
Posts: 4703 | Location: Southern CA, USA | Registered: January 02, 2003
Since I have not seen any of these teams play my opinion is useless, but looking a the scores and for some fun I am going to go with:
1. Hart (underdogs rule) 2. TO 3. Alemany 4. Simi (they have not lost anything this year) 5. DP 6. Harvard-Westlake 7. Crespi (I still think Saugus could knock them off) 8. Moorpark
Posts: 537 | Location: SoCal | Registered: July 24, 2007
My predictions after first round Stealth: Hart vs Simi in final - Hart Synergy: West Ranch vs Crespi - Crespi Quantum: El Camino vs Camarillo- El Camino Showdown: Kennedy vs Valencia - Valencia
Posts: 8 | Location: Reseda Ca | Registered: March 05, 2008
JB, Don't forget you got the Valencia vs. Kennedy one right so far. Also Crespi won but it looks like they're having Moorpark play Chaminade so that Crespi and Chaminade get to play teams not in their league.
Interesting thing about this is that the parents seem to be worried about where the team finishes in the tournament while the coaches generally are just looking at getting the toughest games they can against different teams than they'll see during league.
Posts: 4703 | Location: Southern CA, USA | Registered: January 02, 2003
I guess,... after 1 loss it's pretty much over as you're not going to play in the "real" championship at Birmingham. I can see why Crespi and Chaminade don't want to play each other, but the game with Cleveland vs Chatsworth was under exactly same circumstances, except bracket....They had to play each other. Rules should stand no matter what teams are playing, luck of the draw.....
Posts: 8 | Location: Reseda Ca | Registered: March 05, 2008
JB, Who knows if Chatsworth and Cleveland did or didn't want to play each other? Perhaps there was some other reason for doing it that way. No way to know.
Posts: 4703 | Location: Southern CA, USA | Registered: January 02, 2003